Kalshi Signals Assessment — 2026-05-15

Status: Exists | Very Low Integration

Current State

• alpha_engine/kalshi_signals.py exists.
• Referenced lightly in score_booster.py.
• Part of the broader prediction_market_agents/ framework.

Key Issues

• Extremely low production volume.
• Almost never appears as a primary source for emitted picks.
• Kalshi (event contracts) has excellent resolution quality and lower noise than many crypto sources, but it is barely used.

90-Day Recommendation

• P0: Build a dedicated Kalshi event-contract scanner focused on high-liquidity political, economic, and weather markets.
• P1: Wire Kalshi signals into the non-crypto quality gates with high trust when resolution is binary and timely.
• P2: Use Kalshi as a strong orthogonal signal to traditional price-based strategies (especially for EQUITY and COMMODITY macro bets).

Verdict: One of the most under-used high-quality data sources in the entire stack. Fixing this is high-leverage for improving win rates with relatively clean, resolvable outcomes.